Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | FOR +105 URI -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | URI -2.8 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -1.6 (+2.6) | 156.4 (+2.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | URI -1.3 (+2.3) | 155.4 (+3.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | URI -1.1 (+2.1) | 154.0 (+5.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -1.6 (+2.6) | 155.5 (+3.5) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FOR 61 – 49 URI |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FOR 70 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FOR 88 – 71 URI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | URI 86 – 67 FOR |
| Mar 9, 2024 | URI 58 – 50 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-10 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#216) | 3.1 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#212) | 0.81 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#200) | 0.85 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#214) | 0.561 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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