Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | URI -225 FOR +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -6.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -4.8 (-8.8) | 131.6 (+4.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -5.8 (-9.8) | 130.6 (+5.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -5.1 (-9.1) | 132.2 (+3.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -5.4 (-9.4) | 128.8 (+7.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FOR 61 – 49 URI |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FOR 88 – 71 URI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | URI 86 – 67 FOR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FOR 80 – 79 URI |
| Mar 9, 2024 | URI 58 – 50 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#116) | -0.3 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#119) | -0.64 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#110) | -0.52 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#136) | 0.483 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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