Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | FOR -300 URI +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +8 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | FOR -5.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-43.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -5.0 (-13.0) | 144.8 (-36.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -5.8 (-13.8) | 143.5 (-35.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -4.4 (-12.4) | 146.5 (-38.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -5.0 (-13.0) | 145.0 (-37.0) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FOR 61 – 49 URI |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FOR 70 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FOR 88 – 71 URI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | URI 86 – 67 FOR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FOR 80 – 79 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-11 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#177) | -3.2 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#204) | -0.33 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#211) | -0.31 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#213) | 0.493 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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