Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | URI -290 FOR +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +19 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | URI -9.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -8.2 (+10.8) | 155.5 (-2.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -5.6 (+13.4) | 156.8 (-3.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -8.8 (+10.2) | 157.7 (-4.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -7.8 (+11.2) | 156.8 (-3.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FOR 61 – 49 URI |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FOR 70 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FOR 88 – 71 URI |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FOR 80 – 79 URI |
| Mar 9, 2024 | URI 58 – 50 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#136) | -4.4 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#142) | -0.78 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#137) | -0.96 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#124) | 0.469 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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