Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | RICE +550 FAU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +13 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -13.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-30.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -12.4 (-0.6) | 149.6 (-24.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -12.4 (-0.6) | 151.2 (-26.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -11.9 (-1.1) | 151.2 (-26.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -13.0 (-0.0) | 151.5 (-26.5) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | RICE 81 – 73 FAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | FAU 75 – 73 RICE |
| Mar 3, 2023 | FAU 103 – 74 RICE |
| Feb 10, 2023 | FAU 90 – 81 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-10 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#233) | 13.2 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#258) | 2.14 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#248) | 2.56 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#233) | 0.617 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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