Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -600 RICE +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +2 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -8.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -7.8 (-5.8) | 148.8 (-0.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -5.7 (-3.7) | 147.5 (+0.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -6.1 (-4.1) | 147.7 (+0.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -5.7 (-3.7) | 146.8 (+1.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | RICE 81 – 73 FAU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | FAU 69 – 56 RICE |
| Mar 3, 2023 | FAU 103 – 74 RICE |
| Feb 10, 2023 | FAU 90 – 81 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#113) | -1.6 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#148) | 0.05 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#126) | -0.01 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#91) | 0.484 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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