Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | RICE +280 FAU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +29 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -9.4 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -8.7 (-20.3) | 153.0 (+24.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -7.9 (-21.1) | 154.9 (+22.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -9.0 (-20.0) | 155.6 (+21.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -9.0 (-20.0) | 154.6 (+22.4) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | RICE 81 – 73 FAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | FAU 75 – 73 RICE |
| Jan 25, 2024 | FAU 69 – 56 RICE |
| Feb 10, 2023 | FAU 90 – 81 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 35-4 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 18-2 |
| Home | 11-7 | 17-0 |
| Away | 6-7 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#192) | 12.0 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#138) | 2.54 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#155) | 2.66 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#166) | 0.608 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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