I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Big South Conference · Buccaneer Fieldhouse · January 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WIN -6.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money CHSO +275 / WIN -275
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHSO win
Actual WIN +19 137 Lost
Massey WIN -7.6 (-11.4) — —
Massey Totals — 144.7 (-7.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 17% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 12% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIN -7.5 (-11.5) 144.0 (-7.0) 26% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WIN -7.3 (-11.7) 144.9 (-7.9) 24% ✓
Baseline ML WIN -6.9 (-12.1) 146.1 (-9.1) 24% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WIN -7.2 (-11.8) 143.8 (-6.8) 25% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 6, 2026 WIN 86 – 81 CHSO
Feb 27, 2026 CHSO 86 – 84 WIN
Jan 7, 2026 WIN 81 – 77 CHSO
Feb 6, 2025 WIN 83 – 65 CHSO
Jan 15, 2025 WIN 102 – 97 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CHSO WIN
Overall 10-20 17-15
Conference 6-10 8-8
Home 7-7 9-5
Away 3-12 6-9
Neutral 0-1 2-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 64.0 75.0
Avg Pts Against 74.5 73.5
Massey -10.3 (#323) 1.0 (#147)
Bradley-Terry -2.07 (#331) 0.19 (#158)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.59 (#332) 0.21 (#158)
RPI 0.417 (#311) 0.509 (#155)
Shooting & Four Factors CHSO WIN
FG% 41.2% 43.9%
3PT% 35.2% 35.6%
REB / G 30.7 35.1
OREB / G 7.6 10.7
AST / TO 0.79 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 51.0%
TOV% 18.3% 19.4%
ORB% 22.8% 31.1%
FT Rate 28.9% 38.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.7% 48.8%
Opp TOV% 13.2% 18.0%
DRB% 68.0% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 26.5% 24.7%

Game Analysis

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