Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -350 GW +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -9.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -6.6 (+1.4) | 150.7 (+5.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -8.4 (-0.4) | 146.2 (+9.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -8.0 (+0.0) | 144.4 (+11.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -7.8 (+0.2) | 147.7 (+8.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | GW 85 – 69 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | GW 99 – 85 RICH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GW 75 – 66 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2024 | RICH 66 – 61 GW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | RICH 90 – 74 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#82) | 1.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#72) | 0.99 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#83) | 1.05 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#91) | 0.531 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 18.7% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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