Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | RICH +125 GW -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | GW -3.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -3.6 (+8.6) | 147.0 (-20.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -5.3 (+10.3) | 145.1 (-18.1) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -4.8 (+9.8) | 147.4 (-20.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -4.7 (+9.7) | 147.2 (-20.2) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | GW 85 – 69 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | GW 99 – 85 RICH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GW 75 – 66 RICH |
| Feb 17, 2024 | RICH 90 – 74 GW |
| Jan 25, 2024 | RICH 82 – 74 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#290) | 1.1 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#302) | 0.59 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#290) | 0.60 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#302) | 0.505 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 33.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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