Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | RICH +120 GW -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +14 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -0.2 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -2.6 (-16.6) | 154.1 (+29.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -1.2 (-15.2) | 154.5 (+29.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -3.2 (-17.2) | 152.4 (+31.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -2.7 (-16.7) | 153.7 (+30.3) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | GW 85 – 69 RICH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GW 75 – 66 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2024 | RICH 66 – 61 GW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | RICH 90 – 74 GW |
| Jan 25, 2024 | RICH 82 – 74 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#107) | 9.2 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#119) | 0.91 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#101) | 1.39 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#149) | 0.532 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 33.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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