Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | GW +188 RICH -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +16 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -5.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -5.7 (-10.3) | 147.5 (+16.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -5.3 (-10.7) | 149.2 (+14.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -4.5 (-11.5) | 145.7 (+18.3) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -5.8 (-10.2) | 146.6 (+17.4) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | GW 85 – 69 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | GW 99 – 85 RICH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GW 75 – 66 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2024 | RICH 66 – 61 GW |
| Jan 25, 2024 | RICH 82 – 74 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#195) | 6.9 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#163) | 1.51 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#169) | 1.62 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#180) | 0.563 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 17.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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