Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
American Conference · Charles Koch Arena · January 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WICH -2.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money WICH -138 / ECU +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total WICH win
Actual ECU +2 106 Lost
Massey WICH -5.7 (-7.7)
Massey Totals 143.0 (-37.0)
Bradley-Terry 79%
Weighted B-T 81%
Efficiency Plus ML WICH -4.3 (-6.3) 139.2 (-33.2) 66%
Baseline Tuned ML WICH -4.2 (-6.2) 138.6 (-32.6) 68%
Baseline ML WICH -4.4 (-6.4) 139.3 (-33.3) 67%
Baseline Plus ML WICH -4.3 (-6.3) 140.0 (-34.0) 67%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 WICH 9289 ECU
Jan 22, 2026 WICH 7760 ECU
Jan 19, 2025 ECU 7572 WICH
Feb 16, 2024 ECU 6855 WICH
Jan 29, 2023 WICH 8572 ECU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WICH ECU
Overall 15-19 15-18
Conference 5-13 7-11
Home 10-5 11-9
Away 2-9 3-7
Neutral 3-5 1-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.1 68.6
Avg Pts Against 73.3 70.6
Massey 0.6 (#155) -1.3 (#190)
Bradley-Terry 0.10 (#167) -0.56 (#226)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.15 (#162) -0.53 (#220)
RPI 0.513 (#146) 0.466 (#236)
Shooting & Four Factors WICH ECU
FG% 44.6% 42.5%
3PT% 30.9% 31.1%
REB / G 40.1 35.7
OREB / G 11.9 12.4
AST / TO 0.87 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 48.2%
TOV% 18.1% 16.5%
ORB% 32.1% 34.4%
FT Rate 18.0% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 14.2% 18.8%
DRB% 72.1% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 18.9% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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