Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | ECU +155 WICH -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +13 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -0.9 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (+28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -0.6 (-13.6) | 137.5 (+19.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -0.9 (-13.9) | 136.9 (+20.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -0.8 (-13.8) | 136.0 (+21.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -0.3 (-13.3) | 135.8 (+21.2) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | WICH 92 – 89 ECU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | WICH 77 – 60 ECU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | ECU 75 – 72 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2024 | ECU 68 – 55 WICH |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ECU 54 – 52 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-9 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#224) | 2.0 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#208) | 0.00 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#192) | 0.02 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#254) | 0.495 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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