Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | ECU +295 WICH -375 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +3 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -10.6 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+36.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -8.6 (+5.6) | 144.6 (+36.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -8.2 (+5.2) | 143.9 (+37.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -8.7 (+5.7) | 141.6 (+39.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -8.3 (+5.3) | 143.4 (+37.6) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | WICH 77 – 60 ECU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | ECU 75 – 72 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2024 | ECU 68 – 55 WICH |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ECU 54 – 52 WICH |
| Jan 29, 2023 | WICH 85 – 72 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-10 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#270) | 6.9 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#269) | 0.60 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#282) | 0.80 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#254) | 0.525 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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