Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ECU -138 WICH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +13 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -1.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -1.1 (+11.9) | 137.7 (-14.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -1.3 (+11.7) | 136.8 (-13.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -0.7 (+12.3) | 137.4 (-14.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -1.2 (+11.8) | 138.7 (-15.7) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | WICH 92 – 89 ECU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | WICH 77 – 60 ECU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | ECU 75 – 72 WICH |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ECU 54 – 52 WICH |
| Jan 29, 2023 | WICH 85 – 72 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#180) | 0.7 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#200) | -0.18 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#199) | -0.09 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#206) | 0.484 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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