I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
American Conference · Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum · February 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ECU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money ECU -138 / WICH +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total ECU win
Actual ECU +13 123 Won
Massey ECU -1.7 (+11.3) — —
Massey Totals — 137.1 (-14.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 62% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 62% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ECU -1.2 (+11.8) 138.7 (-15.7) 58% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ECU -1.1 (+11.9) 137.7 (-14.7) 62% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ECU -1.3 (+11.7) 136.8 (-13.8) 57% ✓
Baseline ML ECU -0.7 (+12.3) 137.4 (-14.4) 51% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 WICH 92 – 89 ECU
Jan 22, 2026 WICH 77 – 60 ECU
Jan 19, 2025 ECU 75 – 72 WICH
Jan 25, 2024 ECU 54 – 52 WICH
Jan 29, 2023 WICH 85 – 72 ECU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ECU WICH
Overall 15-18 15-19
Conference 7-11 5-13
Home 11-9 10-5
Away 3-7 2-9
Neutral 1-2 3-5
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.6 72.1
Avg Pts Against 70.6 73.3
Massey -1.0 (#180) 0.7 (#154)
Bradley-Terry -0.30 (#200) -0.18 (#186)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.32 (#199) -0.09 (#175)
RPI 0.482 (#206) 0.484 (#200)
Shooting & Four Factors ECU WICH
FG% 41.2% 44.5%
3PT% 29.9% 31.3%
REB / G 35.5 39.4
OREB / G 12.6 11.6
AST / TO 1.07 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.7% 49.5%
TOV% 15.7% 17.9%
ORB% 33.8% 31.7%
FT Rate 23.0% 18.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 48.6%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 14.8%
DRB% 67.7% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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