The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–9 on winners spread MAE 8.4 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kentucky @ South Carolina -0.4 149.7 48% 62–79 ✗
Texas @ Oklahoma +6.8 139.4 72% 75–60 ✗
Duke @ Louisville -14.6 150.0 13% 83–69 ✓
Wisconsin @ Minnesota -3.7 139.6 35% 61–59 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech -2.9 143.6 38% 72–64 ✓
Florida State @ Syracuse +3.4 150.4 68% 85–69 ✗
West Virginia @ UCF +10.4 139.6 85% 59–72 ✓
UAB @ Charlotte +4.8 137.7 69% 70–76 ✓
Ohio State @ Nebraska +1.8 144.6 66% 69–83 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne +1.2 137.4 63% 50–54 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Massachusetts +2.7 150.2 67% 78–77 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ VCU +7.9 134.9 77% 67–74 ✓
Ball State @ Buffalo -2.4 139.7 40% 87–59 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green +0.9 149.2 54% 90–84 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan -0.2 137.6 52% 55–71 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan +7.5 141.7 74% 56–73 ✓
Ohio @ Akron +10.3 144.1 83% 58–67 ✓
Evansville @ Northern Iowa +11.0 141.4 87% 63–70 ✓
Belmont @ Illinois State -1.2 138.0 45% 67–77 ✗
Toledo @ Northern Illinois -4.5 150.5 29% 89–73 ✓
Xavier @ Creighton +7.8 150.5 82% 78–85 ✓
Michigan @ Purdue +15.7 159.8 89% 67–99 ✓
Houston @ BYU -0.2 130.4 33% 75–68 ✓
San Diego @ Portland -0.1 148.7 55% 85–81 ✓
Boston College @ Virginia Tech +6.0 143.8 72% 71–76 ✓
Wyoming @ San Diego State +18.3 144.4 90% 65–81 ✓
Missouri @ Texas A&M +11.1 140.5 84% 57–63 ✓
TCU @ Oklahoma State -4.5 144.3 29% 74–69 ✓
Boise State @ Fresno State -10.0 133.4 16% 72–68 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +11.6 134.9 85% 90–58 ✗
East Tennessee State @ VMI -9.0 150.1 19% 74–73 ✓
Radford @ UNC Asheville +3.8 146.3 73% 69–81 ✓
Providence @ Seton Hall +2.5 141.5 63% 67–63 ✗
LSU @ Georgia +3.0 151.8 70% 66–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.