Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | OU -225 TEX +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +15 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | OU -7.9 (-22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -6.8 (-21.8) | 139.4 (-4.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -6.1 (-21.1) | 141.4 (-6.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -6.5 (-21.5) | 141.0 (-6.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -7.0 (-22.0) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | OU 88 – 85 TEX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TEX 79 – 69 OU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OU 76 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TEX 77 – 73 OU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TEX 94 – 80 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#24) | 9.8 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#11) | 1.54 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#12) | 1.72 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#31) | 0.565 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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