Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -250 OU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +14 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -3.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+30.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -4.5 (+9.5) | 142.8 (+31.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -3.7 (+10.3) | 143.1 (+30.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -4.0 (+10.0) | 144.1 (+29.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -4.1 (+9.9) | 145.1 (+28.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | OU 88 – 85 TEX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TEX 79 – 69 OU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OU 76 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TEX 77 – 73 OU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TEX 75 – 60 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#26) | 12.8 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#42) | 1.99 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#37) | 2.48 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#60) | 0.562 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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