Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | OU -140 TEX +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +4 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | OU -0.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -2.6 (-6.6) | 150.7 (-0.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -2.9 (-6.9) | 147.4 (+2.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -2.1 (-6.1) | 150.5 (-0.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -1.9 (-5.9) | 152.3 (-2.3) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | OU 88 – 85 TEX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TEX 79 – 69 OU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OU 76 – 72 TEX |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TEX 94 – 80 OU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TEX 75 – 60 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-7 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#54) | 13.9 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.25 (#20) | 1.47 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.19 (#22) | 2.01 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#45) | 0.520 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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