Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -290 OU +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +3 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -5.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -6.3 (-9.3) | 158.1 (+14.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -5.6 (-8.6) | 157.4 (+15.6) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -5.9 (-8.9) | 156.8 (+16.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -5.6 (-8.6) | 156.7 (+16.3) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | TEX 79 – 69 OU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OU 76 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TEX 77 – 73 OU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TEX 94 – 80 OU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TEX 75 – 60 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.7 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#36) | 11.4 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#41) | 1.65 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#32) | 2.31 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#73) | 0.517 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 34.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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