Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -250 OU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -4.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -4.8 (-8.8) | 155.8 (-7.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -4.8 (-8.8) | 152.5 (-4.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -4.3 (-8.3) | 153.3 (-5.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -3.9 (-7.9) | 155.6 (-7.6) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | OU 88 – 85 TEX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TEX 79 – 69 OU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TEX 77 – 73 OU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TEX 94 – 80 OU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TEX 75 – 60 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#39) | 11.7 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#42) | 2.54 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#47) | 3.32 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#107) | 0.556 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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