Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | OU +110 TEX -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -2.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -3.0 (-7.0) | 157.6 (-9.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -0.1 (-10.1) | 153.8 (-5.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -1.4 (-8.6) | 153.3 (-5.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -1.1 (-8.9) | 153.9 (-5.9) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | OU 88 – 85 TEX |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OU 76 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TEX 77 – 73 OU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TEX 94 – 80 OU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TEX 75 – 60 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 81.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#68) | 14.5 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#86) | 1.72 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#79) | 2.95 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#180) | 0.539 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 35.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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