Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -350 OHIO +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +9 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -11.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -11.0 (-2.0) | 145.3 (-20.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -10.3 (-1.3) | 144.1 (-19.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -10.7 (-1.7) | 145.7 (-20.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -10.6 (-1.6) | 146.2 (-21.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AKR 86 – 65 OHIO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 67 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | AKR 92 – 80 OHIO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AKR 65 – 62 OHIO |
| Feb 28, 2024 | OHIO 74 – 67 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#93) | -1.4 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#65) | -0.70 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#68) | -0.73 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#61) | 0.443 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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