Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -115 AKR -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -1.8 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -1.3 (+8.3) | 139.6 (+1.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -1.7 (+8.7) | 138.5 (+2.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -2.2 (+9.2) | 141.6 (-0.6) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -1.9 (+8.9) | 141.2 (-0.2) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AKR 86 – 65 OHIO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 67 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | AKR 92 – 80 OHIO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AKR 65 – 62 OHIO |
| Jan 24, 2024 | AKR 67 – 58 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#161) | 5.5 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#198) | 1.20 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#175) | 1.44 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#210) | 0.579 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.