Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -154 OHIO +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -2.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -1.2 (+1.8) | 138.3 (-11.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -2.2 (+0.8) | 135.3 (-8.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -1.6 (+1.4) | 138.3 (-11.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -2.0 (+1.0) | 137.8 (-10.8) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AKR 86 – 65 OHIO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 67 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | AKR 92 – 80 OHIO |
| Feb 28, 2024 | OHIO 74 – 67 AKR |
| Jan 24, 2024 | AKR 67 – 58 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#109) | 1.6 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#112) | 0.08 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#110) | 0.16 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#56) | 0.505 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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