Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -170 OHIO +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +12 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -4.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -3.3 (+8.7) | 157.8 (+14.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -5.3 (+6.7) | 158.6 (+13.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -3.9 (+8.1) | 158.6 (+13.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -3.6 (+8.4) | 159.4 (+12.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AKR 86 – 65 OHIO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 67 AKR |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AKR 65 – 62 OHIO |
| Feb 28, 2024 | OHIO 74 – 67 AKR |
| Jan 24, 2024 | AKR 67 – 58 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-0 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#126) | 1.0 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#119) | 0.12 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#139) | -0.14 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#111) | 0.507 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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