Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BYU +110 HOU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -0.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -1.3 (-8.3) | 133.5 (+9.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | HOU -0.2 (-6.8) | 130.4 (+12.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BYU -0.5 (-7.5) | 131.7 (+11.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -1.0 (-8.0) | 131.7 (+11.3) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | HOU 73 – 66 BYU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | HOU 77 – 66 BYU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | HOU 74 – 54 BYU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOU 86 – 55 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 32-5 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 16-2 | 17-0 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 57.6 |
| Massey | 20.9 (#4) | 24.4 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#27) | 3.20 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#26) | 4.47 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#37) | 0.653 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 42.4 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.91 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 39.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 40.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 26.3% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.