Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -250 BYU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +20 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -7.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -6.4 (+13.6) | 134.7 (-6.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -6.0 (+14.0) | 133.6 (-5.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -6.6 (+13.4) | 131.7 (-3.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -5.9 (+14.1) | 132.3 (-4.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | HOU 73 – 66 BYU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | HOU 77 – 66 BYU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOU 86 – 55 BYU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | HOU 75 – 68 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-5 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 14-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 10-0 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 24.3 (#3) | 17.1 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.93 (#6) | 2.65 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.07 (#5) | 3.11 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#7) | 0.575 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 57.9% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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