Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -175 OSU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -2.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -1.8 (+12.2) | 144.6 (+7.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -2.7 (+11.3) | 143.0 (+9.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -2.5 (+11.5) | 143.1 (+8.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -2.5 (+11.5) | 143.5 (+8.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2026 | NEB 72 – 69 OSU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OSU 116 – 114 NEB |
| Feb 9, 2025 | NEB 79 – 71 OSU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | OSU 78 – 69 NEB |
| Jan 19, 2023 | NEB 63 – 60 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 18-1 | 15-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#61) | 10.8 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#39) | 1.40 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#37) | 1.91 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#47) | 0.567 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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