Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -138 NEB +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -1.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -1.0 (+8.0) | 142.3 (+4.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -2.2 (+6.8) | 142.6 (+4.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.6 (+8.4) | 141.7 (+5.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -0.6 (+8.4) | 141.4 (+5.6) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2026 | NEB 72 – 69 OSU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OSU 116 – 114 NEB |
| Feb 9, 2025 | NEB 79 – 71 OSU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | NEB 83 – 69 OSU |
| Jan 19, 2023 | NEB 63 – 60 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-5 | 18-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#56) | 11.5 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#77) | 2.05 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#71) | 2.59 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#90) | 0.583 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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