Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -280 NEB +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +2 | 230 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -7.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+83.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -6.4 (-4.4) | 147.4 (+82.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -6.3 (-4.3) | 145.4 (+84.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -6.3 (-4.3) | 143.3 (+86.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -6.4 (-4.4) | 144.5 (+85.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2026 | NEB 72 – 69 OSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | NEB 79 – 71 OSU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | OSU 78 – 69 NEB |
| Jan 24, 2024 | NEB 83 – 69 OSU |
| Jan 19, 2023 | NEB 63 – 60 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#29) | 10.9 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#50) | 1.86 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#40) | 2.68 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#71) | 0.573 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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