Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -145 OSU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -2.2 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -0.8 (+8.8) | 148.1 (+1.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -0.2 (+7.8) | 146.5 (+3.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.6 (+8.6) | 145.6 (+4.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -0.4 (+8.4) | 147.2 (+2.8) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2026 | NEB 72 – 69 OSU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OSU 116 – 114 NEB |
| Feb 29, 2024 | OSU 78 – 69 NEB |
| Jan 24, 2024 | NEB 83 – 69 OSU |
| Jan 19, 2023 | NEB 63 – 60 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#51) | 17.0 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#42) | 2.29 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#35) | 3.45 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#29) | 0.584 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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