Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -166 NEB +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -1.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -1.4 (-4.4) | 149.9 (-8.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -3.0 (-6.0) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.1 (-3.1) | 146.7 (-5.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -0.4 (-3.4) | 146.7 (-5.7) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2025 | OSU 116 – 114 NEB |
| Feb 9, 2025 | NEB 79 – 71 OSU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | OSU 78 – 69 NEB |
| Jan 24, 2024 | NEB 83 – 69 OSU |
| Jan 19, 2023 | NEB 63 – 60 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#39) | 16.0 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#60) | 5.22 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#64) | 7.11 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#62) | 0.679 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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