Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | NEB +188 OSU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +3 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -5.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -4.3 (+7.3) | 136.2 (-13.2) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -3.5 (+6.5) | 136.1 (-13.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -2.5 (+5.5) | 135.8 (-12.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -2.7 (+5.7) | 135.7 (-12.7) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2026 | NEB 72 – 69 OSU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OSU 116 – 114 NEB |
| Feb 9, 2025 | NEB 79 – 71 OSU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | OSU 78 – 69 NEB |
| Jan 24, 2024 | NEB 83 – 69 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#104) | 13.8 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#75) | 1.13 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#77) | 1.76 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#94) | 0.537 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.8% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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