Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -700 MIZ +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +6 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -11.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -11.1 (-5.1) | 140.5 (-20.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -10.5 (-4.5) | 142.1 (-22.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -10.6 (-4.6) | 142.1 (-22.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -11.3 (-5.3) | 142.1 (-22.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MIZ 86 – 85 TA&M |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TA&M 67 – 64 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TA&M 79 – 60 MIZ |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TA&M 69 – 60 MIZ |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TA&M 82 – 64 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 0-18 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-11 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L19 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#44) | 3.2 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#51) | 0.24 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#48) | 0.62 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#52) | 0.509 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 44.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 18.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 44.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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