Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -175 TA&M +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | MIZ -3.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -1.7 (-4.7) | 140.3 (-9.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -4.0 (-7.0) | 141.4 (-10.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -4.1 (-7.1) | 140.6 (-9.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -4.0 (-7.0) | 143.0 (-12.0) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MIZ 86 – 85 TA&M |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TA&M 79 – 60 MIZ |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TA&M 63 – 57 MIZ |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TA&M 69 – 60 MIZ |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TA&M 82 – 64 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 18-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.6 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#23) | 17.1 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#8) | 3.48 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.31 (#10) | 4.19 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#26) | 0.647 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 16.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 42.8% |
| FT Rate | 35.3% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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