Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -305 MIZ +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +1 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -8.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -7.8 (-8.8) | 157.9 (+13.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -8.4 (-9.4) | 158.6 (+12.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -8.1 (-9.1) | 159.3 (+11.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -8.4 (-9.4) | 159.7 (+11.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | TA&M 67 – 64 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TA&M 79 – 60 MIZ |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TA&M 63 – 57 MIZ |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TA&M 69 – 60 MIZ |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TA&M 82 – 64 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.1 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#34) | 9.8 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#35) | 2.02 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#41) | 2.65 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#64) | 0.560 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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