Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ +188 TA&M -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +19 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -3.9 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -4.3 (-14.7) | 141.5 (-2.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -3.2 (-15.8) | 137.2 (+1.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.9 (-15.1) | 138.7 (+0.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -3.4 (-15.6) | 138.2 (+0.8) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MIZ 86 – 85 TA&M |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TA&M 67 – 64 MIZ |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TA&M 63 – 57 MIZ |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TA&M 69 – 60 MIZ |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TA&M 82 – 64 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-11 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L19 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#126) | 9.9 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#193) | 1.71 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#170) | 2.16 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#200) | 0.570 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 43.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 18.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 43.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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