Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -125 M-OH +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +16 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -1.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -0.2 (+16.2) | 137.6 (-11.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -0.1 (+16.1) | 138.6 (-12.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -0.1 (+16.1) | 139.9 (-13.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -0.3 (+16.3) | 139.3 (-13.3) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | M-OH 100 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | M-OH 76 – 70 CMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | M-OH 88 – 60 CMU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | CMU 66 – 60 M-OH |
| Jan 4, 2023 | CMU 68 – 56 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#303) | -3.7 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#203) | -0.67 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#237) | -1.14 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#210) | 0.464 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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