Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -154 CMU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +28 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -3.9 (+24.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -3.0 (+25.0) | 134.0 (+14.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -1.9 (+26.1) | 131.5 (+16.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -2.1 (+25.9) | 131.8 (+16.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -2.1 (+25.9) | 133.6 (+14.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | M-OH 100 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | M-OH 76 – 70 CMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CMU 71 – 55 M-OH |
| Feb 11, 2023 | CMU 66 – 60 M-OH |
| Jan 4, 2023 | CMU 68 – 56 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#262) | -5.6 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#249) | 0.37 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#272) | -0.15 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#254) | 0.514 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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