Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -110 M-OH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +12 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -10.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -5.5 (+6.5) | 142.6 (-18.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -6.6 (+5.4) | 146.5 (-22.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -5.9 (+6.1) | 147.7 (-23.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -5.3 (+6.7) | 145.5 (-21.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | M-OH 100 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | M-OH 76 – 70 CMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | M-OH 88 – 60 CMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CMU 71 – 55 M-OH |
| Feb 11, 2023 | CMU 66 – 60 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#246) | -9.9 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#308) | -1.46 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#302) | -2.09 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#319) | 0.426 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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