Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CMU -120 M-OH +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | CMU -0.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -0.0 (-6.0) | 143.8 (+2.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -0.1 (-6.1) | 145.2 (+0.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -0.0 (-6.0) | 146.6 (-0.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -0.5 (-5.5) | 145.0 (+1.0) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | M-OH 100 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | M-OH 88 – 60 CMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CMU 71 – 55 M-OH |
| Feb 11, 2023 | CMU 66 – 60 M-OH |
| Jan 4, 2023 | CMU 68 – 56 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#217) | -0.3 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#258) | 0.79 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#257) | 0.67 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#245) | 0.527 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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