Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | OKST +155 TCU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -6.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -6.5 (+1.5) | 145.4 (-2.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -4.5 (-0.5) | 144.3 (-1.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -5.8 (+0.8) | 147.6 (-4.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -6.5 (+1.5) | 145.3 (-2.3) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TCU 95 – 88 OKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | TCU 95 – 92 OKST |
| Jan 21, 2026 | TCU 68 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TCU 73 – 72 OKST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TCU 100 – 75 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#117) | 13.9 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#211) | 1.80 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#182) | 2.32 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#221) | 0.555 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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