Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -112 TCU -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +3 | 187 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -0.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (+28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.5 (-4.5) | 153.8 (+33.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -0.4 (-3.4) | 151.6 (+35.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.7 (-4.7) | 151.3 (+35.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -1.8 (-4.8) | 150.6 (+36.4) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TCU 95 – 88 OKST |
| Jan 21, 2026 | TCU 68 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TCU 73 – 72 OKST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TCU 74 – 69 OKST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TCU 100 – 75 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-6 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#64) | 11.8 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#47) | 2.07 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#51) | 2.93 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#65) | 0.545 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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