Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | TCU -290 OKST +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +7 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -3.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -4.3 (+2.7) | 151.7 (+31.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -3.7 (+3.3) | 154.9 (+28.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -3.9 (+3.1) | 154.3 (+28.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -4.6 (+2.4) | 149.7 (+33.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TCU 95 – 92 OKST |
| Jan 21, 2026 | TCU 68 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TCU 73 – 72 OKST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TCU 74 – 69 OKST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TCU 100 – 75 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-5 | 15-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#44) | 9.1 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#29) | 2.08 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#29) | 2.63 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#57) | 0.555 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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