Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TCU -300 OKST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +25 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -4.9 (+20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+38.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -5.1 (+19.9) | 139.6 (+35.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -5.2 (+19.8) | 138.6 (+36.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -4.8 (+20.2) | 140.0 (+35.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -4.5 (+20.5) | 140.4 (+34.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TCU 95 – 88 OKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | TCU 95 – 92 OKST |
| Jan 21, 2026 | TCU 68 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TCU 73 – 72 OKST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TCU 74 – 69 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#19) | 11.9 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#27) | 1.94 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#19) | 2.64 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#77) | 0.570 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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