Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TCU -230 OKST +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +1 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -6.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -5.0 (-4.0) | 135.5 (+9.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -6.2 (-5.2) | 135.7 (+9.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -4.9 (-3.9) | 135.7 (+9.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -5.5 (-4.5) | 135.4 (+9.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TCU 95 – 88 OKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | TCU 95 – 92 OKST |
| Jan 21, 2026 | TCU 68 – 65 OKST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TCU 74 – 69 OKST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TCU 100 – 75 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#71) | 4.4 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#72) | 0.94 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#80) | 1.24 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#83) | 0.508 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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