Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -410 OKST +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -6.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (-29.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -6.4 (-3.4) | 158.1 (-25.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -4.8 (-1.8) | 155.1 (-22.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -4.4 (-1.4) | 153.2 (-20.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -6.0 (-3.0) | 157.1 (-24.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TCU 95 – 88 OKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | TCU 95 – 92 OKST |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TCU 73 – 72 OKST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TCU 74 – 69 OKST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TCU 100 – 75 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-5 | 15-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#45) | 9.5 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#66) | 2.34 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#53) | 2.86 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#105) | 0.580 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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