Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | HALL -150 PROV +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PROV +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -2.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -2.3 (-6.3) | 142.2 (-12.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -2.5 (-6.5) | 141.5 (-11.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -2.8 (-6.8) | 140.2 (-10.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -2.2 (-6.2) | 141.1 (-11.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | HALL 87 – 80 PROV |
| Dec 19, 2025 | HALL 72 – 67 PROV |
| Jan 29, 2025 | PROV 69 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PROV 91 – 85 HALL |
| Jan 3, 2024 | HALL 61 – 57 PROV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 17-4 | 14-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#57) | 10.4 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#52) | 1.52 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#51) | 2.20 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#44) | 0.567 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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